A hybrid deep learning model based on parallel architecture TCN-LSTM with Savitzky-Golay filter for wind power prediction

被引:50
作者
Liu, Shujun [1 ]
Xu, Tong [1 ]
Du, Xiaoze [1 ,2 ]
Zhang, Yaocong [2 ]
Wu, Jiangbo [1 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Lanzhou 730050, Peoples R China
[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Energy Power & Mech Engn, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
关键词
Wind energy; Temporal convolution Network; Long short-term memory neural network; Wind power prediction; Savitzky-Golay filter; MACHINE; SPEED; DECOMPOSITION; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.enconman.2024.118122
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Wind energy is experiencing rapid global growth. However, wind power generation time series data often exhibit nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics, which make precise estimation challenging. Consequently, wind power prediction assumes an increasingly vital role in the planning and deployment of power and energy systems. Recently, many hybrid deep learning prediction models have been developed to improve the prediction performance of wind power, but their deeper network layer and complex structure also bring higher computing costs and reduced prediction efficiency. In order to achieve higher prediction performance, reduce the complexity and computational cost of hybrid deep learning models, and improve prediction efficiency, this study proposed a hybrid deep learning model based on parallel architecture by using a tensor concatenate module to combine a temporal convolution network (TCN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network for wind power prediction, and the Savitzky-Golay (SG) filter is used to remove noise and smooth the input wind speed time series in the model training stage. Using a wind turbine case from Turkey, three sets of comparison experiments are conducted. The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed model are validated by comparing a variety of single and hybrid models using current evaluation metrics and the Diebold-Mariano test. Among them, the number of training parameters and computing time of the proposed parallel architecture TCN-LSTM hybrid model are reduced by 6.59% and 25.82%, respectively, when compared to the conventional TCN-LSTM hybrid model with the same hyperparameter settings. nMAE, nMSE, and nRMSE are reduced by 2.00%, 9.21%, and 4.74%, respectively. The Diebold-Mariano test results also reveal that the proposed model performed better in terms of prediction performance. Moreover, the proposed innovative architecture hybrid model provides a novel approach to developing a hybrid model of deep learning networks for wind power prediction.
引用
收藏
页数:20
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]   Repeated wavelet transform based ARIMA model for very short-term wind speed forecasting [J].
Aasim ;
Singh, S. N. ;
Mohapatra, Abheejeet .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2019, 136 :758-768
[2]   Review of the use of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Models for wind energy assessment [J].
Al-Yahyai, Sultan ;
Charabi, Yassine ;
Gastli, Adel .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2010, 14 (09) :3192-3198
[3]   An intelligent deep learning based prediction model for wind power generation [J].
Almutairi, Abdulaziz ;
Alrumayh, Omar .
COMPUTERS & ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, 2022, 101
[4]  
Bai SJ, 2018, Arxiv, DOI [arXiv:1803.01271, 10.48550/arXiv.1803.01271, DOI 10.48550/ARXIV.1803.01271]
[5]   Wind power forecasting based on time series model using deep machine learning algorithms [J].
Chandran, V. ;
Patil, Chandrashekhar K. ;
Manoharan, Anto Merline ;
Ghosh, Aritra ;
Sumithra, M. G. ;
Karthick, Alagar ;
Rahim, Robbi ;
Arun, K. .
MATERIALS TODAY-PROCEEDINGS, 2021, 47 :115-126
[6]   Refined Diebold-Mariano Test Methods for the Evaluation of Wind Power Forecasting Models [J].
Chen, Hao ;
Wan, Qiulan ;
Wang, Yurong .
ENERGIES, 2014, 7 (07) :4185-4198
[7]   Hybrid machine intelligent SVR variants for wind forecasting and ramp events [J].
Dhiman, Harsh S. ;
Deb, Dipankar ;
Guerrero, Josep M. .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2019, 108 :369-379
[8]   A hybrid photovoltaic/wind power prediction model based on Time2Vec, WDCNN and BiLSTM [J].
Geng, Donghan ;
Wang, Bo ;
Gao, Qi .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2023, 291
[9]   Increasing Growth of Renewable Energy: A State of Art [J].
Guchhait, Rekha ;
Sarkar, Biswajit .
ENERGIES, 2023, 16 (06)
[10]   Wind power forecast based on improved Long Short Term Memory network [J].
Han, Li ;
Jing, Huitian ;
Zhang, Rongchang ;
Gao, Zhiyu .
ENERGY, 2019, 189