Exploring synergistic and individual causal effects of rare earth elements and renewable energy on multidimensional economic complexity for sustainable economic development

被引:5
作者
Abbas, Khizar [1 ]
Han, Mengyao [2 ,3 ]
Xu, Deyi [1 ]
Butt, Khalid Manzoor [4 ]
Baz, Khan [5 ]
Cheng, Jinhua [1 ]
Zhu, Yongguang [1 ]
Hussain, Sanwal [4 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, Wuhan, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Cambridge, Ctr Environm Energy & Nat Resource Governance, Cambridge, England
[4] Univ Cent Punjab, Sch Humanities & Social Sci, Lahore, Pakistan
[5] Zhejiang Agr & Forestry Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Hangzhou, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Rare earth elements; Renewable energy; Multidimensional economic complexity; Sustainable development; Deep learning -based causal inference; Temporal causal modelling; GROWTH NEXUS; CONSUMPTION; RECOVERY; METALS; IMPACT; TRADE; URBANIZATION; AVAILABILITY; INDUSTRIAL; INNOVATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123192
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The ongoing global energy transition has highlighted the instrumental role of rare earth elements (REEs) in achieving green growth through the deployment of renewable energy technologies, establishing a hypothetical progressive synergistic association between them. Therefore, testing this hypothetical synergy and its potential causal effects on economic and technological proxies based on empirical foundations becomes imperative in addressing rampant climatic change. First, we employed Deep Learning algorithms to explore the combined effects of this synergy on Multidimensional Economic Complexity (MEC) as an index using panel data of the largest producers of REEs from 1990 to 2023. Second, Temporal Causal Modelling (TCM) was employed to unveil the directional causality between REEs and renewable energy, as well as their causal roles in driving economic complexities. The deep learning models accurately predicted the positive role of this synergistic relationship in promoting overall MEC. Then, the results of TCM reveal that REE production increases renewable energy use and reduces CO 2 emissions. Renewable energy promotes Research and Technology complexities while REE production affects them indirectly through renewables. It implies that harnessing this synergy to enhance economic complexities can, in turn, bolster green economic and technological development while mitigating CO 2 emissions and addressing pervasive climate change.
引用
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页数:21
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