Exploring long-term strategies for the german energy transition - A review of multi-Sector energy scenarios

被引:27
作者
Naegler, Tobias [1 ]
Sutardhio, Claudia [2 ]
Weidlich, Anke [2 ]
Pregger, Thomas [1 ]
机构
[1] German Aerosp Ctr DLR, Inst Networked Energy Syst, Dept Energy Syst Anal, Curiestr 4, D-70563 Stuttgart, Germany
[2] Univ Freiburg, Dept Sustainable Syst Engn, Emmy Noether Str 2, D-79110 Freiburg, Germany
来源
RENEWABLE AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TRANSITION | 2021年 / 1卷
关键词
Energy system analysis; German energy transition; Scenario modeling; Scenario comparison; RIVER DELTA REGION; AIR-POLLUTION; EXTERNAL COSTS; AMBIENT AIR; IMPACT; POLLUTANTS; EMISSIONS; HEALTH; PM2.5; RISK;
D O I
10.1016/j.rset.2021.100010
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This article systematically compares 26 different scenarios of climate-friendly energy systems, aiming at a reduction of CO2 emissions of at least 90% for Germany in 2050. Technical strategies in terms of technology or energy carrier mixes in the end-use sectors industry, buildings, and transport as well as in the conversion sectors are examined. In addition, the consequences of those different strategies in terms of electricity demand, installed capacity for electricity generation, demand for synthetic fuels and gases (P2X), etc. are looked at. Furthermore, imports of electricity and P2X are compared. In conclusion, there is a wide range of transformation pathways that are projected for Germany, and there is far from consensus on how to technically achieve a reduction in CO(2 )emissions of at least 90% by 2050 in comparison to 1990 levels. This, in turn, illustrates that there is still much need for research and discussion to identify feasible and sustainable transformation strategies towards a "net zero" energy system for Germany.
引用
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页数:17
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