Wind Power Scenario Reduction Based on Improved K-means Clustering and SBR Algorithm

被引:0
作者
Zhao S. [1 ]
Yao J. [1 ]
Li Z. [1 ]
机构
[1] State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System With Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Baoding
来源
Dianwang Jishu/Power System Technology | 2021年 / 45卷 / 10期
关键词
BS indicator; K-means clustering; Kantorovich distance; Synchronous back reduction algorithm;
D O I
10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2020.2013
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The scenario method is important in the adaptation of the optimal dispatch of the power system with a high proportion of wind power. As a research hotspot of scenario analysis methods, the significance of scenario reduction is to describe a large number of complex scenario features with a small number of representative scenarios to achieve the purpose of reducing computational complexity. Aiming at the wind power output, a scenario reduction method based on the combination of the improved K-means clustering and the Simultaneous Backward Reduction (SBR) is proposed. Firstly, the original scenarios are quickly classified based on the improved K-means clustering algorithm. Secondly, the SBR algorithm considering Kantorovich distance is used to reduce the scenario sets in each cluster. Finally, an empirical analysis is carried out using the actual data from a certain province in Northwest China. The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed scenario reduction method are verified with the Brier Score (BS) indicator and the Gaussian mixture model of wind power fluctuations. © 2021, Power System Technology Press. All right reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:3947 / 3954
页数:7
相关论文
共 20 条
[11]  
LOU Suhua, HU Bin, WU Yaowu, Et al., Optimal dispatch of power system integrated with large scale photovoltaic generation under carbon trading environment, Automation of Electric Power Systems, 38, 17, pp. 91-97, (2014)
[12]  
ZHAO Li, HOU Xingzhe, HU Jun, Et al., Improved k-means algorithm based analysis on massive data of intelligent power utilization, Power System Technology, 38, 10, pp. 2715-2720, (2014)
[13]  
WANG Shuai, DU Xinhui, YAO Hongmin, Et al., Research on load curve clustering with multiple user types, Power System Technology, 42, 10, pp. 3401-3412, (2018)
[14]  
BU Fanpeng, CHEN Junyi, ZHANG Qiqi, Et al., A controllable refined recognition method of electrical load pattern based on bilayer iterative clustering analysis, Power System Technology, 42, 3, pp. 903-913, (2018)
[15]  
XU Yechi, YAN Yunsong, ZHANG Junfang, Et al., Stochastic optimal dispatching considering prediction error and frequency response, Power System Technology, 44, 10, pp. 3663-3671, (2020)
[16]  
ZHANG Dabo, ZHU Zhipeng, LIAN Shuai, Et al., Allocation scheme research of UPFC based on multiple scenarios with different weighting coefficients and multi-target optimization in wind power integrated system, Power System Technology, 43, 2, pp. 638-645, (2019)
[17]  
HUANG Yuehui, QU Kai, LI Chi, Et al., Research on modeling method of medium-and long-term wind power time series based on k-means MCMC algorithm, Power System Technology, 43, 7, pp. 2469-2476, (2019)
[18]  
ZOU Yunyang, YANG Li, Synergetic dispatch models of a wind/PV/hydro virtual power plant based on representative scenario set, Power System Technology, 39, 7, pp. 1855-1859, (2015)
[19]  
PINSON P, GIRARD R., Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation, Applied Energy, 96, pp. 12-20, (2012)
[20]  
ZHAO Shuqiang, JIN Tianran, LI Zhiwei, Et al., Wind power scenario generation for multiple wind farms considering temporal and spatial correlations, Power System Technology, 43, 11, pp. 3997-4004, (2019)