The feasibility of reaching gigatonne scale CO2 storage by mid-century

被引:5
|
作者
Zhang, Yuting [1 ]
Jackson, Christopher [1 ]
Krevor, Samuel [1 ]
机构
[1] Imperial Coll London, Dept Earth Sci & Engn, Exhibit Rd, London, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
CARBON CAPTURE; CAPACITY ESTIMATION; PUBLIC PERCEPTION; TECHNOLOGY; AVAILABILITY; ACCEPTANCE; DIOXIDE; MODEL; WIND;
D O I
10.1038/s41467-024-51226-8
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The Sixth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects subsurface carbon storage at rates of 1 - 30 GtCO(2) yr(-1) by 2050. These projections, however, overlook potential geological, geographical, and techno-economic limitations to growth. We evaluate the feasibility of scaling up CO2 storage using a geographically resolved growth model that considers constraints from both geology and scale-up rate. Our results suggest a maximum global storage rate of 16 GtCO(2) yr(-1) by 2050, but this is contingent on the United States contributing 60% of the total. These values contrast with projections in the Sixth Assessment Report that vastly overestimate the feasibility of deployment in China, Indonesia, and South Korea. A feasible benchmark for global CO2 storage projections, and consistent with current government technology roadmaps, suggests a global storage rate of 5-6 GtCO(2) yr(-1), with the United States contributing around 1 GtCO(2) yr(-1).
引用
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页数:13
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