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Optimal monetary policy with r* < 0
被引:2
作者:
Billi, Roberto
[1
]
Gali, Jordi
[2
,3
,4
,6
]
Nakov, Anton
[5
]
机构:
[1] Sveriges Riksbank, Stockholm, Sweden
[2] CREI, Barcelona, Spain
[3] Univ Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain
[4] Barcelona Sch Econ, Barcelona, Spain
[5] European Cent Bank, Frankfurt, Germany
[6] Ramon Trias Fargas 25, Barcelona 08005, Spain
基金:
欧盟地平线“2020”;
欧洲研究理事会;
关键词:
Zero lower bound;
New Keynesian model;
Decline in r*;
Equilibrium determinacy;
Regime switching models;
Secular stagnation;
SECULAR STAGNATION;
INTEREST-RATES;
PERILS;
RISK;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.09.005
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
We study the optimal monetary policy problem in a New Keynesian economy with a zero bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate, when the steady state natural rate (r*) becomes permanently negative. We show that the optimal policy aims to approach gradually a new steady state with positive average inflation. Around that steady state, the optimal policy implies defined (second-best) paths for inflation and output in response to shocks to the natural Under plausible calibrations, the optimal policy implies that the nominal rate remains ZLB most of the time. Despite the latter feature, the central bank can implement the optimal outcome as a unique equilibrium by means of an appropriate nonlinear interest rate rule. order to establish that result, we derive sufficient conditions for local determinacy in a general model with endogenous regime switches.
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页数:20
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