SARS-CoV-2 viremia but not respiratory viral load is associated with respiratory complications in patients with severe COVID-19

Background Severe COVID-19 carries a high morbidity and mortality. Previous studies have shown an association between COVID-19 severity and SARS-CoV-2 viral load (VL). We sought to measure VL in multiple compartments (urine, plasma, lower respiratory tract) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with severe COVID-19 pneumonia and correlate with clinical outcomes. Methods Plasma, urine, and endotracheal aspirate (ETA) samples were obtained on days 1, 3, 7, 14, and 21 from subjects admitted to the ICU with severe COVID-19. VL was measured via reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Clinical data was collected from the electronic health record. Grouped comparisons were performed using Student's t-test or 1-way ANOVA. Linear regression was used to correlate VL from different compartments collected at the same time. Logistic regression was performed to model ventilator-freedom at 28 days as a function of peak plasma VL. Results We enrolled 57 subjects with severe COVID-19 and measured VL in plasma (n = 57), urine (n = 25), and ETA (n = 34). Ventilator-associated pneumonia developed in 63% of subjects. 49% of subjects were viremic on study day 1. VL in plasma and ETA both significantly decreased by day 14 (P < 0.05), and the two were weakly correlated on study day 1 (P = 0.0037, r(2) = 0.2343) and on all study days (P < 0.001, r(2) = 0.2211). VL were not detected in urine. While no associations were observed with peak ETA VL, subjects with higher peak plasma VL experienced a greater number of respiratory complications, including ventilator-associated pneumonia and fewer ventilator-free and hospital-free days. There was no association between VL in either plasma or ETA and mortality. In viremic patients, plasma VL was significantly lower in subjects that were ICU-free and ventilator-free (P < 0.05), with trends noted for hospital-freedom, ventilator-associated pneumonia, and survival to discharge (P < 0.1). By logistic regression, plasma VL was inversely associated with ventilator-freedom at 28 days (odds ratio 0.14, 95% confidence interval 0.02-0.50). Conclusions Elevated SARS-CoV-2 VL in the plasma but not in the lower respiratory tract is a novel biomarker in severe COVID-19 for respiratory complications.