Data-driven model prediction and optimal control for interventional policy of a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics with COVID-19 data

被引:0
作者
Treesatayapun C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Department of Robotic and Advanced Manufacturing, CINVESTAV-IPN, Ramos Arizpe
来源
Advanced Control for Applications: Engineering and Industrial Systems | 2022年 / 4卷 / 04期
关键词
COVID-19; discrete-time SEAICR model; fuzzy rules emulated networks; interventional policy; optimal control;
D O I
10.1002/adc2.115
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Adaptive optimal-control and model prediction are proposed for a class of susceptible-infectious-removed dynamics according to the COVID-19 data. From the practical point of view, data sets of COVID-19 pandemics are daily collected and presented in a discrete-time sequence. Therefore, the discrete-time mathematical model of COVID-19 pandemics is formulated in this work. By developing the time-varying transmission rate, the model's accuracy is significantly contributed to the actual data of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the interventional policy is derived by the proposed optimal controller when the closed-loop performance is guaranteed by theoretical aspects and numerical results. © 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 39 条
[1]  
Hu L., Nie L.F., Dynamic modeling and analysis of COVID-19 in different transmission process and control strategies, Math Meth Appl Sci, 44, pp. 1409-1422, (2021)
[2]  
Zhan C., Chen J., Zhang H., An investigation of testing capacity for evaluating and modeling the spread of coronavirus disease, Inf Sci, 561, pp. 211-229, (2021)
[3]  
Rajaei A., Raeiszadeh M., Azimi V., Sharifi M., State estimation-based control of COVID-19 epidemic before and after vaccine development, J Process Control, 102, pp. 1-4, (2021)
[4]  
Khan H., Mohapatra R.N., Vajravelu K., Liao S.J., The explicit series solution of SIR and SIS epidemic models, Appl Math Comput, 215, 2, pp. 653-659, (2009)
[5]  
Singh A.K., Mehra M., Gulyani S., modified variable-order fractional SIR model to predict the spread of COVID-19 in India, Math Meth Appl Sci, pp. 1-15, (2021)
[6]  
la Sen M.D., Alonso-Quesada S., Vaccination strategies based on feedback control techniques for a general SEIR-epidemic model, Appl Math Comput, 218, 7, pp. 3888-3904, (2011)
[7]  
Leonardo L., Xavier R., A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain and Italy: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics, Res Phys, 21, (2021)
[8]  
Xie Y.K., Wang Z., Lu J.W., Li Y.X., Stability analysis and control strategies for a new SIS epidemic model in heterogeneous networks, Appl Math Comput, 383, (2020)
[9]  
Mandal M., Jana S., Nandi S.K., Khatua A., Adak S., Kar T.K., A model based study on the dynamics of COVID-19: prediction and control, Chaos Soliton Fract, 136, (2020)
[10]  
Ellis P.J.I., Modelling suggests ABO histo-incompatibility may substantially reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission, Epidemics, 35, (2021)