Development and validation of a preoperative CT-based radiomics nomogram to differentiate tuberculosis granulomas from lung adenocarcinomas: an external validation study

Background An accurate and non-invasive approach is urgently needed to distinguish tuberculosis granulomas from lung adenocarcinomas. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram based on contrast enhanced-compute tomography (CE-CT) to preoperatively differentiate tuberculosis granuloma from lung adenocarcinoma appearing as solitary pulmonary solid nodules (SPSN).Methods This retrospective study analyzed 143 patients with lung adenocarcinoma (mean age: 62.4 +/- 6.5 years; 54.5% female) and 137 patients with tuberculosis granulomas (mean age: 54.7 +/- 8.2 years; 29.2% female) from two centers between March 2015 and June 2020. The training and internal validation cohorts included 161 and 69 patients (7:3 ratio) from center No.1, respectively. The external testing cohort included 50 patients from center No.2. Clinical factors and conventional radiological characteristics were analyzed to build independent predictors. Radiomics features were extracted from each CT-volume of interest (VOI). Feature selection was performed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, as well as the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. A clinical model was constructed with clinical factors and radiological findings. Individualized radiomics nomograms incorporating clinical data and radiomics signature were established to validate the clinical usefulness. The diagnostic performance was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).Results One clinical factor (CA125), one radiological characteristic (enhanced-CT value) and nine radiomics features were found to be independent predictors, which were used to establish the radiomics nomogram. The nomogram demonstrated better diagnostic efficacy than any single model, with respective AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.903, 0.857, 0.901, and 0.807 in the training cohort; 0.933, 0.884, 0.893, and 0.892 in the internal validation cohort; 0.914, 0.800, 0.937, and 0.735 in the external test cohort. The calibration curve showed a good agreement between prediction probability and actual clinical findings.Conclusion The nomogram incorporating clinical factors, radiological characteristics and radiomics signature provides additional value in distinguishing tuberculosis granuloma from lung adenocarcinoma in patients with a SPSN, potentially serving as a robust diagnostic strategy in clinical practice.