Uncertainty of Energy and Environment Effects of Ride-hailing Considering Travel Competition

被引：0
作者：
Lv Y. [1 ,2 ]
Guo C. [1 ,2 ]
Sun H.-J. [1 ,2 ]
Zhi D.-Y. [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Institute of Transportation System Science and Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing
[2] Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing
来源：
Jiaotong Yunshu Xitong Gongcheng Yu Xinxi/Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology | 2021年 / 21卷 / 06期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
Counterfactual thinking; Energy and environment effect; Ride-hailing; Travel competition; Uncertainty; Urban traffic;
D O I：
10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2021.06.033
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Under the background of carbon neutrality, it is urgent to promote energy conservation and emission reduction in the transportation industry. With the booming development of ride-hailing, it is expected to replace part of the traditional travel volumes and form a competitive relationship with traditional travel modes. Among them, the impact of ride-hailing on public travel volume has triggered people's thinking on its energy and environment effects. Based on the perspective of counterfactual thinking, this study established an evaluation model for the energy and environment effects of ride-hailing from the perspective of the impact of ride-hailing on the traditional travel modes volumes. Taking Beijing as the case city, the data of different indicators before ride-hailing entered Beijing was used to deduce the traditional travel modes volumes without considering the influence of ride-hailing in recent years. Finally, the net carbon emissions brought by ride-hailing were obtained by combining the predicted travel volumes and the established energy and environment effect evaluation model. The results show that ride-hailing has a certain inhibitory effect on the travel volumes of the bus and subway, and its energy and environment effects are characterized by uncertainty. With the increase of ride-sharing proportion, the negative energy and environment effects of ride-hailing are weakened, indicating that ride-hailing still has the potential of energy conservation and emission reduction, relevant departments need to conduct reasonable management of ride-hailing. The research conclusions reveal the energy and environment effects of ride-hailing and the importance of developing ride-sharing mode, which has reference significance for the sustainable development of ride-sharing represented by ride-hailing, and contributes to the realization of carbon neutrality. Copyright © 2021 by Science Press.
引用
收藏
页码：289 / 297
页数：8
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