Survival Predictors Before Preoperative Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background/Aim: Radical resection after preoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a standard treatment for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LAESCC), but its outcome remains unsatisfactory. In order to develop a personalized treatment program for LAES, we herein compared the survival prediction utility of five pre-NAC nutritional, inflammatory, and immune indexes in patients with LAESCC. Patients and Methods: We evaluated the survival of 203 patients with LAESCC who underwent radical resection after NAC from January 2011 to September 2019 for the following representative pre-NAC nutritional, inflammatory, and immune indices: modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, Prognostic Nutritional Index, C -reactive protein/albumin ratio, serum neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI) were evaluated for their impact on survival. Results: Of the five indices, GNRI was the best predictor of survival as determined by the area under the curve (p<0.05). When patients were divided into three groups according to the nutritional risk assessment of Bouillanne et al. using the pre-NAC GNRI, the 5 -year overall survival (OS) and recurrence -free survival (RFS) were significantly stratified (p<0.001). On multivariate analysis, the GNRI independently identified a poor OS group [group 1: hazard ratio (HR)=2.598, p=0.002; group 2: HR=6.257, p<0.001] and a high recurrence risk group (group 1: HR=1.967, p=0.016; group 2: HR=4.467, p<0.001). Conclusion: In patients with LAESCC, GNRI may be the most accurate, reliable, and useful prognostic factor among the five major systemic inflammatory and nutritional indices.