Gestational Diabetes and Subsequent Metabolic Dysfunction: An National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Analysis (2011-2018)

Background: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) complicates similar to 10% of pregnancies, with the highest rates among Asian women. Evidence suggests that GDM is associated with an increased risk for future chronic health conditions, yet data for Asian women are sparse. We explored the association between prior GDM and metabolic dysfunction with nationally representative data to obtain Asian-specific estimates. Methods: For this cross-sectional study, data were drawn from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey for 7195 women with a prior pregnancy. GDM (yes/no) was defined using the question "During pregnancy, were you ever told by a doctor or other health professional that you had diabetes, sugar diabetes, or gestational diabetes?." Current metabolic dysfunction (yes/no) was based on having at least one of four indicators: systolic blood pressure (SBP, >= 130 mmHg), waist circumference (>= 88 cm), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (<50 mg/dL), and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (>= 6.5%). Logistic regression estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between prior GDM and metabolic outcomes, overall and by race. Models included sampling weights and demographic and behavioral factors. Results: Overall, women with prior GDM had 46% greater odds of high waist circumference (OR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1-2.0) and 200% greater odds (OR: 3.0; 95% CI: 2.1-4.2) of high HbA1c. Prior GDM was not associated with high blood pressure or low HDL cholesterol. In race-specific analyses, prior GDM was associated with increased risk of elevated HbA1c among Asian (OR: 6.6; 95% CI: 2.5-17.2), Mexican American (OR: 3.0; 95% CI: 1.5-5.8), Black (OR: 3.0; 95% CI: 1.7-5.5), and White (OR: 2.6; 95% CI: 1.5-4.6) women. Prior GDM was associated with elevated SBP among Mexican American women and low HDL among Black women. Discussion: Prior GDM is associated with elevated HbA1c among all women, yet is a stronger predictor of elevated HbA1c among Asian women than other women. Race-specific associations between prior GDM and metabolic dysfunction were observed among Mexican American and Black women. Further research is warranted to understand the observed race/ethnic-specific associations.