A Deep Learning Approach Based on Novel Multi-Feature Fusion for Power Load Prediction

被引:1
作者
Xiao, Ling [1 ]
An, Ruofan [2 ]
Zhang, Xue [3 ]
机构
[1] Xuzhou Univ Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Xuzhou 221018, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Macau, Fac Sci & Technol, Taipa 999078, Macau, Peoples R China
[3] Chongqing Univ Posts & Telecommun, Sch Econ & Management, Chongqing 400065, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
deep learning model; multiple features; transfer learning; power load forecasting;
D O I
10.3390/pr12040793
中图分类号
TQ [化学工业];
学科分类号
0817 ;
摘要
Adequate power load data are the basis for establishing an efficient and accurate forecasting model, which plays a crucial role in ensuring the reliable operation and effective management of a power system. However, the large-scale integration of renewable energy into the power grid has led to instabilities in power systems, and the load characteristics tend to be complex and diversified. Aiming at this problem, this paper proposes a short-term power load transfer forecasting method. To fully exploit the complex features present in the data, an online feature-extraction-based deep learning model is developed. This approach aims to extract the frequency-division features of the original power load on different time scales while reducing the feature redundancy. To solve the prediction challenges caused by insufficient historical power load data, the source domain model parameters are transferred to the target domain model utilizing Kendall's correlation coefficient and the Bayesian optimization algorithm. To verify the prediction performance of the model, experiments are conducted on multiple datasets with different features. The simulation results show that the proposed model is robust and effective in load forecasting with limited data. Furthermore, if real-time data of new energy power systems can be acquired and utilized to update and correct the model in future research, this will help to adapt and integrate new energy sources and optimize energy management.
引用
收藏
页数:19
相关论文
共 34 条
  • [1] Design methodology of intelligent autonomous distributed hybrid power complexes with renewable energy sources
    Asanov, Murat
    Asanova, Salima
    Safaraliev, Murodbek
    Zicmane, Inga
    Beryozkina, Svetlana
    Suerkulov, Semetey
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYDROGEN ENERGY, 2023, 48 (81) : 31468 - 31478
  • [2] Research on long term power load grey combination forecasting based on fuzzy support vector machine
    Chen, Yangbo
    Xiao, Chun
    Yang, Shuai
    Yang, Yanfang
    Wang, Weirong
    [J]. COMPUTERS & ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, 2024, 116
  • [3] Combining machine learning techniques with Kappa-Kendall indexes for robust hard-cluster assessment in substation pattern recognition
    de Almeida, Fabricio Alves
    Romao, Estevao Luiz
    Gomes, Guilherme Ferreira
    de Freitas Gomes, Jose Henrique
    de Paiva, Anderson Paulo
    Miranda Filho, Jacques
    Balestrassi, Pedro Paulo
    [J]. ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2022, 206
  • [4] Short-term wind power forecasting based on SSA-VMD-LSTM
    Gao, Xiaozhi
    Guo, Wang
    Mei, Chunxiao
    Sha, Jitong
    Guo, Yingjun
    Sun, Hexu
    [J]. ENERGY REPORTS, 2023, 9 : 335 - 344
  • [5] The impact of disposability characteristics on carbon efficiency from a potential emissions reduction perspective
    Guo, Xu
    Chen, Lei
    Wang, Junchao
    Liao, Lihuan
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2023, 408
  • [6] A time varying filter approach for empirical mode decomposition
    Li, Heng
    Li, Zhi
    Mo, Wei
    [J]. SIGNAL PROCESSING, 2017, 138 : 146 - 158
  • [7] Online transfer learning-based residential demand response potential forecasting for load aggregator
    Li, Kangping
    Li, Zhenghui
    Huang, Chunyi
    Ai, Qian
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2024, 358
  • [8] LIU Y H, 2019, Journal of Beijing Information Science & Technology University (Natural Science Edition), V34, P84
  • [9] Electricity market price forecasting using ELM and Bootstrap analysis: A case study of the German and Finnish Day-Ahead markets
    Loizidis, Stylianos
    Kyprianou, Andreas
    Georghiou, George E.
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2024, 363
  • [10] A cohesive structure of Bi-directional long-short-term memory (BiLSTM) -GRU for predicting hourly solar radiation
    Michael, Neethu Elizabeth
    Bansal, Ramesh C.
    Ismail, Ali Ahmed Adam
    Elnady, A.
    Hasan, Shazia
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2024, 222