Research on charging demands of commercial electric vehicles based on Voronoi diagram and spatial econometrics model: An empirical study in Chongqing China

In order to address the mismatch between the current charging demand of electric vehicles and the layout of charging stations, this paper collects multi-source heterogeneous data that may affect charging demand, and explores their spatiotemporal distributions in depth. Then, this paper proposes a Voronoi polygon spatial partitioning method based on charging demand clustering and two spatial econometric models, spatial lag model (SLM) and spatial error model (SEM), to quantitatively analyze the influences of various elements on charging demands. Empirical research in Chongqing, China reveals that the spatiotemporal distribution of charging demand is uneven, with peak areas and periods for charging, and the division of Voronoi polygon can better reflect the spatial heterogeneity of charging demands than regular grid division. The positive factors include the low SOC, parking lot density, population density, and road network density, especially the low SOC and parking lot density, and the negative items contain consumption related Point Of Interest (POI), tourism related POI, and transportation hub related POI. Among them, population density and road network density, as static data, have similar influences on charging demands at different intervals, while the impact of other factors on charging demand varies with periods, with obvious peak-valley characteristics. There is spatial dependence and lag effect between charging demands within polygons, causing SLM outperforms SEM. The research results are beneficial for the rational siting and optimization of charging stations.