Contribution of Surface Radiative Effects, Heat Fluxes and Their Interactions to Land Surface Temperature Variability

Land surface temperature anomalies can be linked to changes in local surface energy balance, although the relationship between surface temperature variability and individual radiative processes remains unclear. In this paper, we quantify the contributions of surface radiative effects and non-radiative heat fluxes to the variance of monthly land surface temperature using European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5 data and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 simulations. The surface energy budget equation is used to link changes in surface radiation, surface heat fluxes and land surface temperature. Subsequently, surface radiation is decomposed into the radiative effects of clouds, air temperature, surface albedo and relative humidity using radiative kernels. The contributions of these radiative processes, including their coupling effects, are quantified using covariance matrices. The results reveal the air temperature radiative effect to be the most significant contributor to the variability of land surface temperature. In addition, the covariance terms reveal important coupling effects. For example, the contribution from the cloud radiative effect is found to be substantially dampened by its coupling with surface heat fluxes. The air temperature radiative effect is further decomposed into a forcing component and a feedback component using different regression methods, in an attempt to separate the air temperature radiative effect as the driver of the surface temperature variability. The cloud radiative effect becomes the primary contributor to the variance of surface temperature after separating the air temperature feedback, while the contribution of the air temperature radiative forcing remains important. Land surface temperature is critical environmental variable. Through a statistical analysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5 data and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 multi-model simulations, we have explained the land surface temperature variability in relation to the surface energy fluxes. Specifically, we have attributed the variability of monthly surface radiation to the effects of different meteorological variables such as clouds, air temperature, surface albedo and relative humidity. Our findings suggest that the radiative effect of air temperature is the primary contributor to the variance of land surface temperature in most regions, although this effect includes a strong feedback effect of air temperature to surface temperature changes. After separating this feedback effect, the cloud radiative effect becomes the primary contributor. On the other hand, the contribution from cloud radiative effect is significantly counteracted by its coupling with surface heat fluxes. The variance of land surface temperature is decomposed to contributions from surface radiative effects and heat fluxes The radiative effect of air temperature is found to contribute the most to surface temperature variability The cloud radiative effect is found to be the primary contributor after decoupling the air and surface temperature variations