Research and application of a Model selection forecasting system for wind speed and theoretical power generation in wind farms based on classification and wind conversion

被引:4
|
作者
Huang, Xiaojia [1 ]
Wang, Chen [2 ]
Zhang, Shenghui [3 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[2] South China Normal Univ, Sch Data Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Macau, Dept Comp & Informat Sci Org, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
基金
中国博士后科学基金;
关键词
Multi-objective optimization algorithm; Model selection; Wind speed forecasting; Theoretical power generation; DECOMPOSITION; OPTIMIZATION; ENSEMBLE; NETWORK;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2024.130606
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
This study focuses on ensuring the stable operation of the power grid by accurately forecasting the theoretical power generation capacity of wind turbine units, especially in scenarios integrating significant amounts of renewable energy into the grid. The forecasting process involves two key steps: initially forecasting wind speeds and then estimating theoretical power generation using wind turbine power conversion curves. This article proposes a wind speed forecasting system based on deep learning, integrating multiple hybrid models and employing deep learning algorithms to select the optimal wind speed hybrid forecasting model, optimized by the multi -objective mayfly optimization algorithm. Additionally, a wind energy conversion simulation system for wind turbines has been developed, precisely simulating the physical process of converting wind energy into electrical energy. This system, in conjunction with wind speed forecasting, estimates the theoretical power generation of wind farms. The results of this research hold significant practical implications for enhancing the operational efficiency of wind power, strengthening the grid's supply -demand balance, and increasing the economic and environmental value of wind power projects.
引用
收藏
页数:20
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A fuzzy expert system for the forecasting of wind speed and power generation in wind farms
    Damousis, IG
    Dokopoulos, P
    PICA 2001: 22ND IEEE POWER ENGINEERING SOCIETY INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POWER INDUSTRY COMPUTER APPLICATIONS, 2001, : 63 - 69
  • [2] Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion
    Wang, Chen
    Zhang, Shenghui
    Liao, Peng
    Fu, Tonglin
    RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2022, 196 : 763 - 781
  • [3] A Hybrid Model for Forecasting Wind Speed and Wind Power Generation
    Chang, G. W.
    Lu, H. J.
    Hsu, L. Y.
    Chen, Y. Y.
    2016 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PESGM), 2016,
  • [4] Application of Gaussian Process to Wind Speed Forecasting for Wind Power Generation
    Mori, Hiroyuki
    Kurata, Eitaro
    2008 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES (ICSET), VOLS 1 AND 2, 2008, : 956 - 959
  • [5] Research of Wind Speed and Wind Power Forecasting
    Zheng Xiaoxia
    Fu Yang
    RENEWABLE AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, PTS 1-7, 2012, 347-353 : 611 - 614
  • [6] Wind Speed Forecasting Based on ARMA-ARCH Model in Wind Farms
    He Yu1
    2. Southeast University
    3. Nanjing Power Supply Company Chen Hao
    Electricity, 2011, 22 (03) : 30 - 34
  • [7] Wind Speed and Direction Forecasting for Wind Power Generation Using ARIMA Model
    Yatiyana, Eddie
    Rajakaruna, Sumedha
    Ghosh, Arindam
    2017 AUSTRALASIAN UNIVERSITIES POWER ENGINEERING CONFERENCE (AUPEC), 2017,
  • [8] A novel wind speed forecasting model for wind farms of Northwest China
    Wang, Jian-Zhou
    Wang, Yun
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GREEN ENERGY, 2017, 14 (05) : 463 - 478
  • [9] Short Term Wind Speed and Power Forecasting in Indian and UK Wind Power Farms
    Singh, Ankita
    Gurtej, K.
    Jain, Gourav
    Nayyar, Faraz
    Tripathi, M. M.
    2016 IEEE 7TH POWER INDIA INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE (PIICON), 2016,
  • [10] Artificial Neural Network Based Wind Speed & Power Forecasting in US Wind Energy Farms
    Varanasi, Jyothi
    Tripathi, M. M.
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE FIRST IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POWER ELECTRONICS, INTELLIGENT CONTROL AND ENERGY SYSTEMS (ICPEICES 2016), 2016,