A Statistical Analysis on Tidal Triggering of Earthquakes in the Kashi-Wuqia Intersection Area in Xinjiang

A statistical analysis on earthquake activity in the Kashi-Wuqia intersection area triggered by earth tide is done by Schusters test and the Permutation test on daily and monthly scales. The north-south,east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress are chosen as the tidal curve in the daily scale. The results show that most of the earthquakes occurred near the maximum 0° of the three kinds of tidal curves,the predominant tidal phases of the earthquake are- 5. 86°,6. 60° and- 15. 52°,and the frequency of the earthquakes increases with the increase of the tide; with three kinds of tidal curves( the north-south,east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress),the p S of Schusters test for all the earthquakes is 10. 52%,2. 40% and 2. 06%,and the p P of the Permutation test is 10. 90%,2. 40% and 2. 06%,and the results of p S and p P based on the east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress are below the threshold of 0. 05 that tidal triggering of earthquakes. In the monthly scale,both the p S and p P are very low( close to 0),far below the threshold of 0. 05 of tidal triggering of earthquakes,and the predominant tidal phase for earthquake triggering is- 18. 95°,close to the maximum 0°( new moon and full moon) of the earth tide in monthly scale. Regarding the statistical test result of tidal triggering of earthquakes,a preliminary explanation is given as to why the trigger effect in the east-west direction is greater than that in north-south direction.