DELPHIC STUDY EXAMINES DEVELOPMENTS IN MEDICINE

被引：16

作者：

BENDER, AD ^{[1
]}

STRACK, AE ^{[1
]}

EBRIGHT, GW ^{[1
]}

HAUNALTER, GV ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] SMITH KLINE & FRENCH LABS, PHILADELPHIA, PA USA

来源：

FUTURES | 1969年 / 1卷 / 04期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0016-3287(69)90003-2

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This experiment with the Delphi forecasting technique correlates the opinions of experts about likely developments in the field of medicine. The study was conducted for a report by Smith Kline & French Laboratories in the USA as an aid to the planning of a pharmaceutical company. Two internal questionnaires encouraged the formulation of an extramural Delphi to probe the future of five areas, biomedical research, diagnosis, medical therapy, health care and medical education. The results of the survey are displayed graphically, and a scenario for the years 1978-1983 has been constructed from the consensus statements. © 1969.

引用

页码：289 / 303

页数：15

共 16 条

[1] HUMAN CARDIAC TRANSPLANTATION - AN EVALUATION OF FIRST 2 OPERATIONS PERFORMED AT GROOTE SCHUUR HOSPITAL CAPE TOWN [J].