FORECASTING EXTREME WIND SPEED OF TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA

被引：0

作者：

Kong-Ied, B. ^{[1
]}

Chiangpradit, M. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Mahasarakham Univ, Fac Sci, Math Dept, Math & Appl Math Res Unit, Maha Sarakham 44150, Thailand

[2] Mahasarakham Univ, Fac Sci, Math Dept, Stat & Appl Stat Res Unit, Maha Sarakham 44150, Thailand

来源：

ADVANCES AND APPLICATIONS IN MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES | 2018年 / 17卷 / 11期

关键词：

extreme; wind speed; GEV; GPD;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

O1 [数学];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070101 ;

摘要：

This research was to investigate severity of maximum wind speed of the tropical cyclone for creating the optimal model for extreme wind speed of the tropical cyclone over Southeast Asia and predicting level of reoccurrence and risk of extreme wind speed of the tropical cyclone in every 10, 25, 50 and 100 years. The data in this research were wind speed collected by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) since 1996 to 2016, 20 years in total, 18,247 observations. The results showed that Weibull Distribution was an optimal distribution from the parameter estimation of GEV and Gamma Distribution for GPD.

引用

页码：731 / 741

页数：11

共 9 条

[1] Generalized extreme wind speed distributions in South America over the Atlantic Ocean region [J].

de Oliveira, Marilia Mitidieri F. ;

Ebecken, Nelson Francisco F. ;

de Oliveira, Jorge Luiz F. ;

Gilleland, Eric .

THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2011, 104 (3-4) :377-385

[2] Limiting forms of the frequency distribution of the largest or smallest member of a sample [J].

Fisher, RA ;

Tippett, LHC .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE CAMBRIDGE PHILOSOPHICAL SOCIETY, 1928, 24 :180-190

[3] THE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION OF THE ANNUAL MAXIMUM (OR MINIMUM) VALUES OF METEOROLOGICAL ELEMENTS [J].

JENKINSON, AF .

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1955, 81 (348) :158-171

[4]

Marks FD, 1998, B AM METEOROL SOC, V79, P305

[5] Infinite-mean models and the LDA for operational risk [J].

Neslehova, Johanna ;

Embrechts, Paul ;

Chavez-Demoulin, Valerie .

JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RISK, 2006, 1 (01) :3-25

[6]

Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC), RSMC TROP CYCL INF

[7]

Reiss R.D, 2001, STAT ANAL EXTREME VA

[8]

Sarkar A., 2011, INT J ENG SCI TECHNO, V3, P100, DOI [10.4314/ijest.v3i5.68571, DOI 10.4314/IJEST.V3I5.68571]

[9]

World Meteorological Organization, RA 4 HURR COMM REG A

← 1 →