The Information Contents of VIX Index and Range-based Volatility on Volatility Forecasting Performance of S&P 500

被引:0
|
作者
Hung, Jui-Cheng [1 ]
Ni, Ren-Xi [2 ]
Chang, Matthew C. [3 ]
机构
[1] Lunghwa Univ Sci & Technol, Taoyuan, Taiwan
[2] Takming Univ Sci & Technol, Taipei, Taiwan
[3] Hsuan Chuang Univ, Hsinchu, Taiwan
来源
ECONOMICS BULLETIN | 2009年 / 29卷 / 04期
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中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, we investigate the information contents of S&P 500 VIX index and range-based volatilities by comparing their benefits on the GJR-based volatility forecasting performance. To reveal the statistical significance and ensure obtaining robust results, we employ Hansen's SPA test ( 2005) to examine the forecasting performances of GJR and GJR-X models for the S&P500 stock index. The results indicate that combining VIX and range-based volatilities into GARCH-type model can both enhance the one-step-ahead volatility forecasts while evaluating with different kinds of loss functions. Moreover, regardless of under-prediction, GJR-VIX model appears to be the most preferred, which implies that VIX index has better information content for improving volatility forecasting performance.
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页码:2592 / 2604
页数:13
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