The Delphi technique: A review

被引:247
作者
Vernon, Wesley [1 ]
机构
[1] Jordanthorpe Hlth Ctr, Sheffield Primary Care Trust, Sheffield S8 8ND, S Yorkshire, England
关键词
Delphi; consensus methods; nursing; health care;
D O I
10.12968/ijtr.2009.16.2.38892
中图分类号
R49 [康复医学];
学科分类号
100215 ;
摘要
Background: The Delphi technique is an approach with much to offer health-care research. It was first devised by the RAND corporation in the 1950s and later, in the 1970s, was rediscovered by the nursing profession. Delphi is one of a range of consensus techniques, all of which fall under the broad classification of action research approaches. The purpose of the Delphi technique is to test opinion consensus amongst a group of experts. Content: A brief overview of the various consensus methods is given. The development and operation of the Delphi technique is then considered and a critical assessment of the technique is offered. Conclusions: Delphi is potentially useful across a wide range of applications, however, it is important to appreciate the strengths, weaknesses and pitfalls to avoid in its application.
引用
收藏
页码:69 / 76
页数:8
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