A system dynamics model for estimating heroin imports into the United States

被引：11

作者：

Gardiner, L. Keith

Shreckengost, Raymond C.

机构：

来源：

SYSTEM DYNAMICS REVIEW | 1987年 / 3卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1002/sdr.4260030103

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

A small system dynamics model of the heroin supply in the United States has proved useful in estimating heroin imports and anticipating effects of changes in imports. This paper describes the structure of the model and its application to import data over a ten-year period. Of particular interest is the way in which the model has been used to flag inconsistencies and fill gaps in federal data.

引用

页码：8 / 27

页数：20