PREDICTORS OF SKILLED NURSING PLACEMENT IN A MULTILEVEL LONG-TERM-CARE FACILITY

OBJECTIVE: To determine if cognitive and functional data gathered before admission to residential care (i.e., board and care) placement can predict nursing home placement. DESIGN: Retrospective study using Cox proportional hazards analysis and pairwise assessment of adjusted relative risk factors to determine which independent variables predicted skilled nursing placement. Subjects were followed for an average of 23.7 months (SD = 18.6 months). SETTING: Multilevel 735-bed long-term care facility, Jewish Home for the Aging, Reseda, California. PARTICIPANTS: Of the 248 consecutive residential care admissions studied, 80% were women. Subject's mean age was 84.8 years (SD = 5.0); 67% had no significant cognitive impairment. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES: Categorical variables were classifications with respect to dementia status, incontinence, hearing, and ambulation. Interval variables were number of medications, Katz ADL, and five neuropsychological tests. Demographic variables were gender, age, language of origin, and education. OUTCOME VARIABLE: Time between preadmission testing and the move up to skilled nursing placement. RESULTS: Pairwise assessment of adjusted potential risk factors indicated that cognitive dysfunction, less than perfect Katz ADL performance, and hearing loss were the most important independent risk factors for nursing placement. CONCLUSIONS: The findings remind us to pay careful attention to residents exhibiting even relatively mild cognitive deficits upon admission because these residents are likely to need increased environmental support.