GLOBAL STABILITY ANALYSIS OF A TWO-STRAIN EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH AWARENESS

被引:12
作者
Baba, Isa Abdullahi [1 ]
Hincal, Evren [1 ]
Alsaadi, Sultan Hamed Khalifa [1 ]
机构
[1] Near East Univ TRNC, Dept Math, Mersin 10, Istanbul, Turkey
来源
ADVANCES IN DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS AND CONTROL PROCESSES | 2018年 / 19卷 / 02期
关键词
two strain; global stability analysis; awareness; mutation; basic reproduction ratios;
D O I
10.17654/DE019020083
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this article, an epidemic model consisting of two strains with awareness for each strain is studied. Four equilibrium points were obtained; disease free equilibrium, endemic with respect to strain 1, endemic with respect to strain 2, and endemic with respect to both strains. Lyapunov functions were used to conduct the global stability analysis of the equilibrium points. Two basic reproduction ratios R-1 and R-2 are found, and the global stability depends on their magnitude. If both are less than one, the two strains die out, and if both are greater than one, they persist. Epidemic occurs with respect to any strain with basic reproduction ratio greater than one. Numerical simulations were carried out to support the analytic results and to show the effect of awareness for strain 1 against strain 2 and the awareness for strain 2 against strain 1.
引用
收藏
页码:83 / 100
页数:18
相关论文
共 22 条
[1]   The dynamics of cocirculating influenza strains conferring partial cross-immunity [J].
Andreasen, V ;
Lin, J ;
Levin, SA .
JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 1997, 35 (07) :825-842
[2]   Global stability analysis of two-strain epidemic model with bilinear and non-monotone incidence rates [J].
Baba, Isa Abdullahi ;
Hincal, Evren .
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL PLUS, 2017, 132 (05)
[3]   The public's response to severe acute respiratory syndrome in Toronto and the United States [J].
Blendon, RJ ;
Benson, JM ;
DesRoches, CM ;
Raleigh, E ;
Taylor-Clark, K .
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2004, 38 (07) :925-931
[4]  
Chadla M. S., 2015, PLOS ONE, V10
[5]  
Cui J., 2007, J DYN DIFFER EQU, V20, P31, DOI DOI 10.1007/S10884-007-9075-0)
[6]   Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study [J].
Dawood, Fatimah S. ;
Iuliano, A. Danielle ;
Reed, Carrie ;
Meltzer, Martin I. ;
Shay, David K. ;
Cheng, Po-Yung ;
Bandaranayake, Don ;
Breiman, Robert F. ;
Brooks, W. Abdullah ;
Buchy, Philippe ;
Feikin, Daniel R. ;
Fowler, Karen B. ;
Gordon, Aubree ;
Nguyen Tran Hien ;
Horby, Peter ;
Huang, Q. Sue ;
Katz, Mark A. ;
Krishnan, Anand ;
Lal, Renu ;
Montgomery, Joel M. ;
Molbak, Kare ;
Pebody, Richard ;
Presanis, Anne M. ;
Razuri, Hugo ;
Steens, Anneke ;
Tinoco, Yeny O. ;
Wallinga, Jacco ;
Yu, Hongjie ;
Vong, Sirenda ;
Bresee, Joseph ;
Widdowson, Marc-Alain .
LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2012, 12 (09) :687-695
[7]   Epidemiology of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in the United States [J].
Jhung, Michael A. ;
Swerdlow, David ;
Olsen, Sonja J. ;
Jernigan, Daniel ;
Biggerstaff, Matthew ;
Kamimoto, Laurie ;
Kniss, Krista ;
Reed, Carrie ;
Fry, Alicia ;
Brammer, Lynnette ;
Gindler, Jacqueline ;
Gregg, William J. ;
Bresee, Joseph ;
Finelli, Lyn .
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2011, 52 :S13-S26
[8]   Global stability analysis of oseltamivir-resistant influenza virus model [J].
Kaymakamzade, Bilgen ;
Baba, Isa Abdullahi ;
Hincal, Evren .
12TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLICATION OF FUZZY SYSTEMS AND SOFT COMPUTING, ICAFS 2016, 2016, 102 :333-341
[9]  
Liu R., 2007, COMPUT MATH METHOD M, V8, P153, DOI [10.1080/17486700701425870, DOI 10.1080/17486700701425870]
[10]   THE IMPACT OF MEDIA COVERAGE ON THE DYNAMICS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE [J].
Liu, Yiping ;
Cui, Jing-An .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMATHEMATICS, 2008, 1 (01) :65-74