INTERPRETATION OF SNOW-CLIMATE FEEDBACK AS PRODUCED BY 17 GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS

被引:140
作者
CESS, RD
POTTER, GL
ZHANG, MH
BLANCHET, JP
CHALITA, S
COLMAN, R
DAZLICH, DA
DELGENIO, AD
DYMNIKOV, V
GALIN, V
JERRETT, D
KEUP, E
LACIS, AA
LETREUT, H
LIANG, XZ
MAHFOUF, JF
MCAVANEY, BJ
MELESHKO, VP
MITCHELL, JFB
MORCRETTE, JJ
NORRIS, PM
RANDALL, DA
RIKUS, L
ROECKNER, E
ROYER, JF
SCHLESE, U
SHEININ, DA
SLINGO, JM
SOKOLOV, AP
TAYLOR, KE
WASHINGTON, WM
WETHERALD, RT
YAGAI, I
机构
[1] UNIV CALIF LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATL LAB,LIVERMORE,CA 94550
[2] CANADIAN CLIMATE CTR,TORONTO M3H 574,ONTARIO,CANADA
[3] LAB METEOROL DYNAM,F-75231 PARIS 05,FRANCE
[4] BUR METEOROL RES CTR,MELBOURNE,VIC 3001,AUSTRALIA
[5] COLORADO STATE UNIV,FT COLLINS,CO 80523
[6] NASA,GODDARD INST SPACE STUDIES,NEW YORK,NY 10025
[7] ACAD SCI USSR,DEPT NUMERICAL MATH,MOSCOW 119034,USSR
[8] HADLEY CTR CLIMATE PREDICT & RES,METEOROL OFF,BRACKNELL RG12 2SZ,BERKS,ENGLAND
[9] MAX PLANCK INST METEOROL,W-2000 HAMBURG 13,GERMANY
[10] SUNY ALBANY,ALBANY,NY 12222
[11] CTR NATL RECH MET,DIRECT METEOROL NAT,F-31057 TOULOUSE,FRANCE
[12] LENINGRAD MAIN GEOPHYS OBSERV,LENINGRAD 194018,USSR
[13] EUROPEAN CTR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS,READING RG2 92X,BERKS,ENGLAND
[14] UNIV CALIF SAN DIEGO,SCRIPPS INST OCEANOG,LA JOLLA,CA 92093
[15] UNIV READING,READING RG6 2AU,ENGLAND
[16] NATL CTR ATMOSPHER RES,BOULDER,CO 80307
[17] PRINCETON UNIV,NOAA,GEOPHYS FLUID DYNAM LAB,PRINCETON,NJ 08544
[18] METEOROL RES INST,TSUKUBA,IBARAKI 305,JAPAN
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.253.5022.888
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Snow feedback is expected to amplify global warming caused by increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases. The conventional explanation is that a warmer Earth will have less snow cover, resulting in a darker planet that absorbs more solar radiation. An intercomparison of 17 general circulation models, for which perturbations of sea surface temperature were used as a surrogate climate change, suggests that this explanation is overly simplistic. The results instead indicate that additional amplification or moderation may be caused both by cloud interactions and longwave radiation. One measure of this net effect of snow feedback was found to differ markedly among the 17 climate models, ranging from weak negative feedback in some models to strong positive feedback in others.
引用
收藏
页码:888 / 892
页数:5
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