MORBIDITY RISK-FACTORS IN HUMAN CARDIAC TRANSPLANTATION - HISTOINCOMPATIBILITY AND PROTRACTED GRAFT ISCHEMIA ENTAIL HIGH-RISK OF REJECTION AND INFECTION

Data from the first 103 human heart transplantations performed on 100 recipients (aged 14-62 years) at a single center from November 1983 to January 1990 were analyzed in order to detect morbidity-causing risk factors. Cumulative one- and five-year graft survival was 82 % and 68 %. Multivariate analysis revealed three independent risk factors for early rejection, viz. HLA-DR and HLA-B mismatches and no prior cardiac surgery. Graft ischemic time exceeding 71 min was an independent risk factor for rejection, especially for moderate or severe events, and for infection. HLA-DR mismatch was an independent risk factor for moderate and severe rejection events and for infections. Finally, patients operated on because of end-stage ischemic heart disease were at significantly higher risk of rejection than those with other cardiac disorders. The study has several implications: Prospective tissue typing for cardiac transplantation and selection of donors may have an impact on graft function: Damage to the graft by prolonged ischemia may be reduced by improved organ preservation.